by Paul | Aug 23, 2013 | News
Targeting for the upcoming San Diego mayoral Special Election is complicated because San Diego provides few recent examples from which to create a likely voter turnout model. There are statewide special elections in 2003, 2005 and 2009, and there were recent special...
by Paul | Aug 22, 2013 | News
If Mayor Filner were to resign on Friday 8/23 with an immediate effective date, then the potential dates for the special election would be on a Tuesday within a 60-90 day window. [charter] [municipal code] The runoff would be “within 49 days” which is a tight...
by Paul | Jul 23, 2013 | News
A look at the Absentee ballot returns from the competitive SD 16 race shows a continued low-turnout election, with political and ethnic representation similar to the Primary. The following chart identifies the number of votes cast by Democrats, Republicans and Other...
by Paul | Jun 4, 2013 | News
The Democratic super-majority in the State Senate was tested in the SD 16 Primary Election where on Election Day it looked like the Republican candidate had won the seat outright despite a large Democratic registration advantage. In subsequent days the vote tightened,...
by Paul | May 29, 2013 | News
According to the Secretary of State, approximately 25% of the eligible voting population of California is unregistered. Using the PDI database we come to roughly the same calculation with 18 million voters and a Census estimate of 23 million Citizens of Voting Age...
by Paul | May 23, 2013 | News
We have received a lot of feedback on our posting which looked at the Garcetti/Gruel election through the lens of ethnic & partisanship breakdown of voters. Several have asked for analysis of other races. While we don’t have all the data at our fingertips,...
